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Preparing the latest GEOSTRAT analysis.
How to read our assessments
Confirmed
Multiple independent sources or official confirmation
Analytical assessment
Assessment based on available indicators
Unconfirmed
Limited, one-sided or unclear evidence
Scenario
Possible future development, not a certain forecast
INTELLIGENCE DATABASE
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OPERATIONAL PICTURE
Global flashpoints
Prolonged war of attrition
Slow movement of the front and continued high resource consumption without a decisive breakthrough.
Sudden operational rupture
A collapse on a limited sector of the front triggering a wider organised withdrawal.